Tata-Corus - Analysis

Here's my analysis

Winners
UBS + Goldman Sachs: Had bought 11 percent of Corus before they pushed CSN into the bidding game.(think 0.11*11 billion *(609-455)/455 dollars ) **

CSN: had 36 million of Corus Shares. Put in a bid of 475 pence per share (and did due diligence later, can you belive it, did it get ponied by the bankers or it believed Tata would outbid it anyway)

Corus and its other shareholders: Obvious Reasons

Indian Politicians: Blowing their own trumpet

What does India (or Indian industry) gain through this publicity? Would investors be more willing to invest in India after this?

Potential Dark Horse

Tata Steel:

Got screwed ??

Yes, but it had already decided to build up capacity. Think industry dynamics (consolidation, pricing power) Paid $700 per tonne of production capacity. Would have needed double that amount to build (unless what I read was wrong, some say PV of expanding to that capacity to be $2000)

Verdict

There can be only one loser . (unless the industry consolidation wipes out smaller players) But fingers crossed?

** 400+ million dollars